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発表 FLOOD RISK FORECASTING FOR POORLY GAUGED BASINS IN THE MEKONG RIVER BASIN USING A DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL AND A SATELLITE DERIVED PRECIPITATION DATASET

作成年度 2008 年度
論文名 FLOOD RISK FORECASTING FOR POORLY GAUGED BASINS IN THE MEKONG RIVER BASIN USING A DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL AND A SATELLITE DERIVED PRECIPITATION DATASET
論文名(和訳)
論文副題
発表会 6th Annual Mekong Flood Forum
誌名 6th Annual Mekong Flood Forum CD-ROM
巻・号・回
発表年月日 2008/05/01
所属研究室/機関名 著者名(英名)
土木研究所水災害研究グループJun MAGOME
土木研究所水災害研究グループKazuhiko FUKAMI
土木研究所水災害研究グループHironori INOMATA
水災害・リスクマネジメント国際センター or 土木研究所水災害研究グループKuniyoshi TAKUCHI
抄録
In order to achieve effective flood risk forecasting for poorly gauged sub-basins in the Mekong River Basin, the feasibility of using a currently available distributed hydrological model and satellite-based precipitation datasets coupled with a simple statistical approach is discussed in this paper. A physically based distributed hydrological model, the YHyM/BTOP model, was used in this paper to simulate at any grid for the whole Mekong River Basin, including poorly gauged basins. Historical discharge data for the past 29 years were reconstructed and archived with validation using ground-based observed hydro-meteorological data with other public domain datasets as input. A preliminary study on the real-time flood risk assessment interpreted from the percentile of simulated discharge from the discharge database referring observed river discharge is consequently conducted utilising satellite-based precipitation datasets Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) data. Simulated discharge by the YHyM/BTOP model using satellite-based precipitation generally represents the trend of observed discharge well and the possibility of real-time flood risk assessment was well demonstrated.
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